2013 Raptors Season Recap

jonas

As I did last year for the 2011-2012 NBA season, here are my thoughts on the 2012-2013 season as it is set to conclude.

All in all, it was a pretty disappointing year for the Raptors. I was pretty optimistic that with the team’s offseason moves that they could finally make a push for the playoffs. Not that I agreed with that direction, or that it was the right decision to begin with, but I did feel as though the team had improved enough to potentially get there this season.

However, those playoff aspirations were all but over after an unexpected 4-19 start to the season. Although, for what it’s worth, there still looks to be some bright spots for the team’s future, one of them being Jonas Valanciunas.

My 5 Likes for the 2012-2013 Raptors season:

1. Jonas Valanciunas. I admit, I was critical of Valanciunas when he was drafted because I felt the team was better off with a point guard. However, I’ll gladly eat my words with this one.

Right off the bat, Jonas became the starting center for the Raptors and looked very impressive for a rookie. Often times, it was Jonas who actually looked like the best player on the court for the Raptors. Which is why it’s still a mystery to many, including myself, as to why coach Casey didn’t play the rookie during the fourth quarter of games when he clearly should have.

Even when Jonas wasn’t in foul trouble, Casey opted for a front court lineup of Bargnani and Johnson to close out games versus Johnson and Valanciunas. However, that should change soon as he gains trust from the coaching staff moving forward.

While we won’t really know who the best player to pick from the 2011 draft will be for at least a few more years, Jonas is proving to be a really nice pick. He’s still learning, but the potential, and work ethic is clearly there to become a special player.

2. Owed pick to Oklahoma City is now out of the way. Well, technically it’s not official just yet, as we’ve yet to see the draft lottery results. But, given that the Raptors currently sit at the 12th pick going into the lottery, it’s very unlikely that they end up moving all the way up to the top three.

So, with that said, at least the Raptors can blow up the team and go all-in for an Andrew Wiggins tank next season. If they decide to do that, which I sure hope they do.

3. Improved defense? Well, according to a report, the Raptors starting five is amongst the top in the league defensively. This definitely came as a surprise to me. Aside from Amir Johnson and Kyle Lowry, the Raptors don’t have that many players in the starting lineup who excel on the defensive end.

One thing I might add though is that I can only imagine how much better the starting unit would be defensively if Landry Fields was starting in place of DeMar DeRozan. In my opinion, it would work for a couple of reasons. One being that the defense would improve since Fields is a much better defender and rebounder than DeRozan. Secondly, I think that DeRozan has the ability to become a very good player in a sixth man type role which in turn would help out the second unit.

4. Ed Davis. Finally got his chance to start. It was clear during his short stint as a starter (to me at least) that he is more than capable of being an everyday starter in this league. The Bargnani injury finally gave Davis the opportunity to not only prove that he deserved that spot all along, but also proved how much of a better fit he was at the position than the guy who he had lost that spot to for his entire career, Andrea Bargnani.

However, obviously it doesn’t matter much now anyways. Unfortunately the Raptors Colangelo traded him away for to get “his guy” Rudy Gay. Whenever Davis does get his chance again to start, whether it’s in Memphis or on another team, I think he will continue to prove that. Simply put, I don’t think that trading him away was a good idea.

5. Colangelo is demoted. After much speculation surrounding Tim Leiweke and Phil Jackson, it is official that the Colangelo era is finally over. Now, it’s pretty clear that Phil Jackson won’t be joining the Raptors front office; however, it’s good that MLSE has finally decided that a front office change is needed.

After all we’ve been through (seven years of mediocrity, and really nothing close to what he did with the Suns in Phoenix), it’s probably best for the team to move on from Colangelo, and try something new.

Now, I will admit, the Suns were one of the more exciting teams to watch way back then, but it was obvious they were never going to win a championship playing the run and gun style. I’d always rather watch a boring team that has a chance of winning, rather than an exciting one that looks good losing.

My 5 Dislikes for the 2012-2013 Raptors season:

1. Dwane Casey’s coaching strategies and rotations.
After his first season as head coach, and the impact he had on the team, it looked like Dwane Casey was the Raptors saviour.

However, I am starting to question his coaching abilities this season. He often seemed to be out-couched by the opposing team, often matching them as opposed to making opponents pay with mismatches in their favour. These situations became clear in games where the Raptors simply could not hold leads in the fourth quarter because of matching instead of using advantages.

Another unusual situation in my opinion was when he would constantly sit rookie Jonas Valanciunas in the fourth quarter of games, despite playing great, and rarely utilizing Ross for the wing defense and perimeter shooting which he was supposed to bring in right away.

Another key to note about the team was that they really were nothing close to the level of intensity or defense of the previous season. I’m not sure if it’s simply a new strategy, or if the 29 other teams simply came into 2012-2013 more prepared than the Raptors.

But here’s another theory about that. Maybe the Raptors looked so good defensively because Andrea played less than half of last season…coincidence? Probably not, but that brings me to my next point.

2. Andrea Bargnani. Surprise!(not). Came nowhere close to his now famous “13-game stretch” of last season. Whatever Andrea did last season, he clearly did not do coming into this year.

Although it really shouldn’t surprise anyone as to why he played so poorly. If you remember from the pre season, Andrea was out of shape from taking the entire summer off. Looking at him struggle this season, not just with shooting consistency but simply lack of effort, you have to agree by now that Andrea has overstayed his welcome in Toronto. So, for the sake of every Raptor fan left, let’s get rid of him now, please.

So, yes Andrea’s performance this season was a huge disappointment. But what I find equally disappointing is the reluctance to trade him, despite apparent opportunities to do so at the trade deadline.

3. Andre Drummond. Take a look at how he’s impacting the Detroit Pistons. It still bothers me that the team took positional need over potential. All questions surrounding Drummond look to be answered as of now, and, there is little speculation, if any that Drummond looks like a legitimate NBA center.

I had wanted Drummond since I saw him at UConn. However, because of the team getting too many wins, which consequently led to getting a lower pick, I just didn’t think that it was possible. I never expected that he would fall all the way to us at 8th, given that he had been the second pick, next to only Anthony Davis for quite a long time.

With Drummond, Valanciunas and a high pick next season in the 2014 draft, the Raptors would have had a very promising future to build around.

4. No first round pick this season. It’s not official just yet, but there is a pretty good chance that the Raptors give their first round pick to the Thunder (via Rockets trade) this year.

Now, I said at the beginning of the year that the Raptors giving up a late lottery pick for Kyle Lowry was a good move. I also thought that the Raptors would be a borderline playoff team. However, make no mistake about it, the Raptors trying to make the playoffs was a bad move. Now, as a non-playoff team, not having a lottery pick to look forward to this offseason is definitely not a good feeling.

As I mentioned previously, it’s definitely a good thing that the pick is given up this season, versus next season or beyond.

5. Confusion. With Colangelo being demoted to a non-basketball role, which guarantees a new person will take charge of the Raptors, it still remains a question as to what direction Mr. Leieke will take with the team.

Given the very little flexibility of the Raptors in its present state, it’s tough to say how or even where they even start clean up the mess left by Colangelo.

If there is a positive in this though, it’s that here are some pieces that can be moved, and some that may even bring back first round picks. However, I have no idea if this will be a quick rebuild, or simply tear it down and start over. I’m really hoping for the latter.

But, does MLSE have the patience to go through another rebuild, even though that’s clearly the best option for this team moving forward?

2013 NBA Playoff Bracket

2013playoffs

Eastern Conference

First Round:
1. Miami vs 8. Milwaukee
2. New York vs 7. Boston
3. Indiana vs 6. Atlanta
4. Brooklyn vs 5. Chicago

Second Round:
1. Miami vs 5. Chicago
2. New York vs 3. Indiana

Conference Finals:
1. Miami vs 3. Indiana

Western Conference
1. Oklahoma City vs 8. Houston
2. San Antonio vs 7. L.A.L.
3. Denver vs 6. Golden State
4. L.A.C. vs 5. Memphis

Second Round:
1. Oklahoma City vs 4. L.A.C.
2. San Antonio vs 3. Denver

Conference Finals:
1. Oklahoma City vs 3. Denver

NBA Finals:
1. Miami vs 1. Oklahoma City

NBA Champs: Miami Heat

NCAA Tournament Picks

Midwest Region:

1. Louisville vs 16. Liberty/NC AT&T
8. Colorado State vs 9. Missouri
5. Oklahoma State vs 12. Oregon
4. Saint Louis vs 13. New Mexico State
6. Memphis vs 11. Middle Tennessee/Saint Mary’s
3. Michigan State vs 14. Valparaiso
7. Creighton vs 10. Cincinnati
2. Duke vs 15. Albany

Second Round:
1. Louisville vs 9. Missouri
5. Oklahoma State vs 4. Saint Louis
6. Memphis vs 3. Michigan State
7. Creighton vs 2. Duke

Third Round:
1. Louisville vs 5. Oklahoma State
3. Michigan State vs 7. Creighton

Fourth Round:
1. Lousville vs 3. Michigan State

West Region:

1. Gonzaga vs 16. Southern
8. Pittsburgh vs 9. Wichita State
5. Wisconsin vs 12. Ole Miss
4. Kansas State vs 13. Boise State/La Salle
6. Arizona vs 11. Belmont
3. New Mexico vs 14. Harvard
7. Notre Dame vs 10. Iowa State
2. Ohio State vs 15. Iona

Second Round:
1. Gonzaga vs 9. Wichita State
5. Wisconsin vs 4. Kansas State
6. Arizona vs 3. New Mexico
10. Iowa State vs 2. Ohio State

Third Round:
1. Gonzaga vs 5. Wisconsin
3. New Mexico vs 2. Ohio State

Fourth Round:
1. Gonzaga vs 3. New Mexico

South Region:

1. Kansas vs 16. Western Kentucky
8. North Carolina vs 9. Villanova
5. VCU vs 12. Akron
4. Michigan vs 13. South Dakota State
6. UCLA vs 11. Minnesota
3. Florida vs 14. Northwestern State
7. San Diego State vs 10. Oklahoma
2. Georgetown vs 15. Florida Gulf Coast

Second Round:
1. Kansas vs 8. North Carolina
5. VCU vs 4. Michigan
6. UCLA vs 3. Florida
7. San Diego State vs 2. Georgetown

Third Round:
1. Kansas vs 4. Michigan
3. Florida vs 2. Georgetown

Fourth Round:
1. Kansas vs 2. Georgetown

East Region:

1. Indiana vs 16. LIU Brooklyn/James Madison
8. NC State vs 9. Temple
5. UNLV vs 12. California
4. Syracuse vs 13. Montana
6. Butler vs 11. Bucknell
3. Marquette vs 14. Davidson
7. Illinois vs 10. Colorado
2. Miami vs 15. Pacific

Second Round:
1. Indiana vs 9. Temple
5. UNLV vs 4. Syracuse
6. Butler vs 3. Marquette
7. Illinois vs 2. Miami

Third Round:
1. Indiana vs 4. Syracuse
6. Butler vs 2. Miami

Fourth Round:
1. Indiana vs 2. Miami

Final Four:

1. Lousville vs 3. New Mexico
1. Kansas vs 1. Indiana

Final:
1. Louisville vs 1. Indiana

Champion: Louisville
I just think that Louisville is the most talented team out there right now. The Cardinals really have it all. Great guard play, great defense, and tournament experience- a recipe for tournament success.

Playing in the Big East, they have enough experience against the best competition, and are riding a ton of momentum from just having won the Big East tournament. Simply put, they will be a very tough team to beat. After falling just short last season, losing in the Final Four, this team probably has a chip on their shoulders.

Potential Sleepers:

Butler- A team that is always capable of making a run based on teamwork and experience rather than big time recruits. It’s also a team that is well coached by Brad Stevens, who had made consecutive trips to the finals in 2010 and in 2011. He certainly knows how to get a team to win when it counts. The Bulldogs also have impressive wins versus Marquette, North Carolina, Indiana and Gonzaga this season.

VCU- Like Butler, the Rams are another team that always seems to make some noise in the tournament. They are very well coached, and play a very aggressive style on the court. Even the most experienced back courts will have trouble versus the “havoc” of full court presses to force turnovers and disrupt the opponents offensive sets, followed by fast breaks and up tempo offense through an entire 40 minute game. The Rams also finished second in the Atlantic 10 tournament, a conference that has gotten much better.

Creighton-Has one of the most lethal scorers in all of the NCAA in Doug McDermott. The Bluejays are certainly capable of making a run if there is no one who can shut him down offensively. The Bluejays also have a very efficient offense, ranked 24th in PPG, 5th in APG, and 1st in FG%. Yes, I do have them with the upset of Duke in the second round.

Oklahoma State-Big time recruit Marcus Smart will be the key with the Cowboys. As the top point guard prospect right now, and also playing in what will likely be his one and only season of college ball, he will likely show more of the same as to why he’s a top NBA prospect. His competitiveness, leadership, defensive and offensive abilities may be enough to put the team on his back and carry them on a nice run. This is a team that has beaten Kansas State, and also almost beat Kansas twice.

Wisconsin-Maybe not your traditional “sleeper” type of team, but being ranked as a number five seed is definitely enough to call them one in my opinion. The Badgers are a physical team of tournament veterans who will grind it out with you for an entire 40 minutes stretch. Not to mention, have some pretty impressive wins this season versus Creighton, Minnesota, Ohio State, Michigan twice, and Indiana twice. The Badgers are definitely a team to watch out for.

To Tank or not to Tank

lottery

The debate of tanking or not tanking is usually a critical issue that lottery bound teams face at this point in the season, in several sports for that matter. For some teams, tanking technically happens over the course of an entire season if they’re in a “rebuild” mode. For others, who are borderline playoff teams, don’t usually begin to use the strategy until they are mathematically eliminated from the playoffs.

However, this season in particular, is a unique situation for the Raptors in regard to their stance on tanking, and whether or not they should join in as well.

Obviously, with the Raptors now out of the playoff picture, the question is should they?

Well, it’s actually difficult to answer that this season in particular.

Normally at this point in the season, I would be a supporter of throwing in the towel and “tanking” to end the season, seeing that tanking does have its benefits for drafting purposes. That is of course, unless the team wasn’t already trying to tank the entire season in the first place.

But, going back to the Kyle Lowry trade last summer, the Raptors gave up their first round pick to Houston, which obviously belongs to Oklahoma City now. There was a catch to it though. Aside from the future restrictions on it, the pick will only go to the Thunder if it falls between 4-14th this season.

So, that means that the Raptors must get a top three pick in order to keep it.

In truth, I can see the arguments on both sides as legitimate ones.

On one hand, you get a chance at a top three pick, which is normally where you want to be drafting anyways. Considering the recent Raptors luck in the draft lottery, or rather lack thereof, it would be nice to finally add one of those picks to the Raptors, who haven’t gotten a top three pick since Andrea Bargnani.

It’s not exactly considered a “strong” draft class by any means because there does not appear to be a clear cut franchise player. However, there are still a handful of players who could end up being very good players at the NBA level. More importantly, there are players who would be a great help to the Raptors if they end up with one of the top three picks.

Obviously, luck will have to play a little bit of a factor as well. Considering that the Raptors are currently positioned to pick 10th, which means that it would go to the Thunder. That is also assuming that if the Raptors did get a top three pick that they would keep it. But unfortunately, it may be needed as a trade piece.

On the other hand, you still have to think long term. The Raptors could get that pick out of the way, and hope for a couple of things in the near future.

The first being that there is still a chance that Bryan Colangelo is fired. It seems like the odds are certainly in favour of MLSE keeping him around after allowing him to use up valuable team assets in his “win now” approach. But in the small chance that he IS let go, it would be nice to have a guaranteed pick moving forward.

The second being that if a new GM is brought in, it’s possible that he would be smart enough to realize that this roster isn’t capable of being a real NBA contender. Making that 2014 draft pick that much more important in terms of bringing in a potential franchise-changing player- Andrew Wiggins, perhaps?

Yes, it’s a pipe dream, but it makes a lot more sense to go after a player like that, than to continue down the current path of mediocrity- which would be the ceiling for this club in a best-case scenario.

In addition, with the poorly built roster that present GM Bryan Colangelo has assembled going into next year, it shouldn’t really surprise anyone if the team is a complete wreck next season. So, ironically, even though the team may be set up to try and make a playoff push next season, there is still a pretty good chance that it could even end up back in the draft lottery, similar to this season.

Technically, the team has improved from last season, and it has also improved from its awful 4-19 start to the year. But I don’t think anything is certain at this point, especially when looking at how inefficient the offense is, in particular since the addition of Rudy Gay.

That said, if you’re looking at all of the present and future circumstances surrounding the team, what I think it should come down to is what is going to help the team the most in the long term.

So, if you’re going to ask me what the team should do, I say that we try and get that pick out of the way this season.

We can’t say for sure what is going to happen this off season. But if we can get that pick out of the way, I think that we can be better prepared for whatever does happen.

After a month of Rudy Gay- Thoughts

Al-Farouq Aminu ; Rudy Gay

It’s now been a little over a month now since the Raptors decided to finally make a trade for Rudy Gay.

After all of the weeks of speculation that a potential trade could happen as well as the initial hype immediately after the deal, I must say, the results aren’t too far off from what I expected from the team to start the Rudy Gay era.

To others, who expected Rudy Gay to somehow blossom into the star player that he’s paid like, well, let’s just say that there was a reason that the Grizzlies were looking to get rid of him for years. We’re certainly seeing those reasons now.

Furthermore, the Raptors’ record since acquiring Rudy Gay is only 8-9, and 8-8 if you don’t include the game he didn’t play in. Despite losing some depressing games to the Wizards, as well as the Cavaliers without Irving, the Raptors appear to be a near .500% team.

But what’s even worse is that you also have to remember that without Rudy Gay hitting two game winning shots, this team could have easily been at an even more disappointing record of 6-11 right now.

In addition, let’s take a look at Rudy’s individual performance since the trade.

Through 16 games played, he’s averaging 19.6 PPG, 6.5 RPG, 2.8 APG, 2.4 SPG, 4.6 FTA, and just less than 1 BPG. Which, looking at those stats by themselves, tells a pretty impressive story. Which is also the reason why those are the only stats that they show you on the Raptors broadcast.

But, let’s take a deeper look at how Rudy is getting those numbers through the stats that they aren’t showing you. 37.5 MPG, .38 FG%, .24 3P%, and a whopping 19.3 FGA.

Let that sink in a little bit. Shooting at 38% is really not impressive, nor is it efficient offense when you’re only scoring 19 PPG on 19 shots. So looking deeper into the stats, it shows that Rudy Gay has had more of a negative impact on offense since joining the Raptors than a positive one.

Also, according to Basketball Reference, Rudy Gay’s offense has been so bad that he has actually has a NEGATIVE OWS (Offensive Win Share) of -0.7, and a DWS (Defensive Win Share) of 0.8. A net combined O/D WS of only 0.1. So, statistically, Rudy Gay has been terrible offensively, and only mediocre defensively, while only contributing an estimated 0.1 of the 8 wins since he arrived.

Unusual, considering that Rudy Gay was actually supposed to help the team’s offense, not make it worse. Obviously, having a negative impact offensively isn’t something you would ever attribute to a “star” player.

So, after this many games and seeing the same results, it’s probably fair to say that Rudy Gay is far from the “star” player that many fans thought Rudy would almost instantly become in Toronto.

What’s even more interesting is the sub plot. It was after all, Bryan Colangelo who wanted Rudy Gay all along and even admitted that he almost took Rudy first overall instead of Bargnani in 2006. So, how fitting would it be that in the end, the guy that Bryan Colangelo wanted so badly may even end up costing him his job?

Sometime this offseason, MLSE will either give him more time to run the team, or replace him with someone else.

It is important to remember though, that after this season, he will have spent seven years making the front office decisions for the team. Can we really expect much different results than we have been accustomed to over the years? That is, it’s more than likely that we either return to mediocrity (if we’re lucky), or simply fall flat on our faces and end up back in the draft lottery at this time next year.

If he does return as General Manager of the team, well, then the questions remain as to how to make this team into one that can do some damage in the playoffs. Right now, there is a lot of work to be done in that respect.

The average, at best performance by the team since the trade definitely leaves a lot to be desired. This team certainly does not look like a team with one of the highest payrolls in the league going into next season. So, you have to be concerned about that. I know I am.

Ironically, the fate of Bryan Colangelo may literally lie in the hands of Rudy Gay right now. It could very well be Gay’s performance to end the year that ultimately determines what happens with Bryan Colangelo and his current position of Team President and General Manager.

So, in a sense, Bryan Colangelo may even be the ball at this point if it was put into a basketball context. So, I have to ask, would shooting it at less than 40% mean that there’s a +60% chance that he’s gone?

2012-2013 NBA Trade Deadline- Thoughts

trob

Overall, it was a pretty quiet trade deadline in the association. If you’ve been following the rumours over the last few weeks, it was expected to be pretty busy.

That didn’t appear to be the case when the clock struck 3:00PM EST, however.

Here’s a breakdown of the very few deals that took place on or near the deadline.

 

Kings/Rockets/Suns: Kings get Patrick Patterson, Toney Douglas, Cole Aldrich. Rockets get Thomas Robinson, Francisco Garcia, Tyler Honeycutt, Suns second round pick. Suns get Marcus Morris.

Raptors/Suns: Raptors get Sebastian Telfair. Suns get Hamed Haddadi and a second round pick.

Bucks/Magic: Bucks get J.J. Redick, Gustavo Ayon, Ish Smith. Magic get Tobias Harris, Doron Lamb, Beno Udrih.

Celtics/Wizards: Celtics get Jordan Crawford. Wizards get Leandro Barbosa and Jason Collins.

Thunder/Trailblazers: Thunder get $2.2M trade exception. Trailblazers get Eric Maynor.

Grizzlies/Heat: Grizzlies get Dexter Pittman and a second round pick. Heat get rights to Ricky Sanchez.

Knicks/Thunder: Knicks get second round pick. Thunder get Ronnie Brewer.

Mavericks/Nets: Mavericks get Anthony Morrow. Nets get Dahntay Jones.

Bobcats/Magic: Bobcats get Josh McRoberts. Magic get Hakim Warrick.

76ers/Warriors: 76ers get Charles Jenkins. Warriors get a second round pick.

Hawks/Warriors: Hawks get Jeremy Tyler. Warriors get a second round pick.

 

Winners:

Houston Rockets: I’ll start out by saying I think that they made the best trade deadline move. Daryl Morey continues to make good moves for the team going back to trading for James Harden.

I didn’t like the initial signings of Omer Asik and Jeremy Lin in the off season. However, the additions of James Harden and now Thomas Robinson give the Rockets a very nice young core to build around. I like Robinson as the starting PF in Houston, and think that he is a steal for what the Rockets got him for. Watch out for him, I think that he will finally start to show why he was selected 5th overall in June.

Not to mention, they do have a lot of cap room to make big offers to potential free agents this offseason. Dwight Howard, perhaps? Overall, I think the Rockets made a really nice move.

Orlando Magic: The Magic are getting a couple of good pieces in return for the expiring Redick. Let’s face it, Redick needed to go if the Magic were ever going to rebuild properly.

Now, they finally appear to be in a rebuilding mode, which wasn’t necessarily the case when the initial Howard trade went down. Now, they have some good young pieces in Nicholson, Vucevic, Harkless, Lamb and Harris. Lamb was another player I thought that could be a second round steal in the draft.

It looks like they’ve positioned themselves well for the next few drafts, most notably for 2014. But, the problem is that they still need to rid themselves of Davis, Nelson, and Harington to really get the rebuild going in full swing.

 

Losers:

Toronto Raptors: They did need to get another point guard. It’s good that they got rid of Haddadi, who looked like he would never play a single game for the Raptors. But, they gave up an awful lot for a third stringer.

I would have preferred they had went and signed someone from the D-League instead for the remainder of the season. Scott Machado, Shelvin Mack, Ben Uzoh were all worth a shot, and they would have been able to keep their second rounder.

Also, the Raptors failed to get rid of Andrea Bargnani who is clearly overstayed his welcome on the team. This could also go in the next category of teams that should have made a move. But, they did make a move. Quite frankly, they made the wrong ones, which is including the Rudy Gay trade.

Milwaukee Bucks: Basically gave up two decent prospects for what could be just a rental player in Redick. The Bucks probably would have been better off as sellers at the deadline, instead of arguably being on the buying side of things. Redick is a good player, but the Bucks don’t have a whole lot of certainty regarding the futures of Monta Ellis and Brandon Jennings.

I get the feeling that Jennings does not want to be there. Plus, Ellis has already said he will be testing the free agent market, so they probably should have tried to get something in return. I think they made a mistake by holding onto them.

What they should have done was just blow it up by trading Jennings, Ellis, and possibly Ilyasova. Then continue to build around Lamb, Harris, Henson, Sanders, etc. Instead, I think that the Bucks have put themselves into a bad situation moving forward.

Sacramento Kings: I thought the Kings had solidified their future front court in Robinson and Cousins back in June.

I guess I was wrong there, because the Kings certainly didn’t feel that way. Instead, decided to move the 5th overall pick for Patrick Patterson, Cole Aldrich, and Toney Douglas.

Really don’t know what the Kings were thinking with this one, because the last thing they needed to do was give up a player with Robinson’s potential for another backup PF and a fourth PG on the team. Patterson is a good player, but I think Robinson has a much higher ceiling.

 

Teams that should have made a move:

Atlanta Hawks: Josh Smith

I’m not sure what to think about Smith to be honest. The Hawks are obviously keeping their options open with trying to get Dwight Howard this summer, but Smith is going to be an UFA, and is seeking a max, or at least near max deal.

Getting Monta Ellis isn’t exactly a good deal for them, but I don’t think that Smith will be in Atlanta going into next season anyways. If they could have gotten first round picks from Milwaukee or Phoenix (rumoured teams), then I think they made a mistake by holding onto him.

Utah Jazz: Paul Millsap

I know that the Jazz are right up there in the playoff hunt, but I think keeping Millsap hurts them in the long term. Here’s a couple reasons why I think Millsap should have been moved.

One being that the Jazz already have a really good player in Favors who’s playing behind him. It’s not helping anyone with his minutes limited by being a bench player. He’s got a lot of potential, and the Jazz need to give him the chance to break out.

Two being that if the rumours that I heard were accurate, they could have moved him for Eric Bledsoe, which would have been a nice player to build around at PG. Having Bledsoe and Favors as the two new starters may have hurt the playoff chances this season, but it could have been a good move for the future of the team.

Portland Trailblazers: LaMarcus Aldridge + J.J. Hickson.

Am I the only one who sees Aldridge as a guy the Blazers should move? The Blazers started out strong in the first half of the season. But since then have been showing more of the results we were expecting of them. That is, once again being in the draft lottery.

So to me, why should they continue to hold on to Aldridge, whose value is probably at an all time high right now as an all-star player in his prime years. There’s really no use for a rebuilding team to hold onto him for much longer.

In addition, I think it only makes sense that the Trailblazers move the expiring contract of J.J. Hickson for more pieces. At $4M , he’s a steal. However, given that he’s only 24 years old, he could even be moved to PF and resigned in order to replace Alridge in a rebuild. The guy that I think the Trailblazers need to give more minutes to is rookie big man Meyers Leonard.

Cleveland Cavaliers: Anderson Varejao
Ok. Maybe they still trade him in the offseason. But, it’s hard to believe that there were no takers for the league’s top rebounder before he got injured. The Cavs were said to be asking too much for the Brazilian, but as a rebuilding team, he needs to go. It really makes no sense to keep Varejao around as the Cavs continue to rebuild.

L.A. Lakers: Pau Gasol

He clearly doesn’t fit in with the new look Lakers, nor should he continue to be coming in off the bench.

I think that Gasol was definitely tradable, despite his foot injury. So, it’s tough to say what the holdup was.

The Lakers obviously have bigger problems right now, like the supposed fued between Kobe and Dwight, and obviously, the possibility of missing the playoffs. But Pau Gasol is a problem that they probably should have addressed sooner rather than later.

Nickels Holding up a Dollar

nickel

The recent trades by the Raptors, particularly the one including Rudy Gay reminded me a lot of the line that is used by Roy Garber on the television series Shipping Wars.

The phrase goes something along the lines of “nickels holding up a dollar”.

This could probably mean a few different things, especially when considering that the line of work in Shipping Wars is quite different than that of a professional sports team. But, in this case, I’ll put it in the context of cashing out on an investment early.

You see, Bryan Colangelo made a lot of “win now” moves, especially recently. The reasons behind it are still unclear. But, you get the idea that it’s probably because he’s trying to take a few short cuts in order to save his job.

The problem with that though, is not only is it a bad decision now, but even more so in the future.

Now, when you think of the word loyalty, you would usually associate it with being a good thing. However, Bryan Colangelo’s loyalty to his players has been one of his biggest weaknesses thus far.

It has been crippling to a franchise that has needed change for many years. For several seasons now, we’ve all been witness to the special treatment that his “guys” Andrea Bargnani and DeMar DeRozan have been given.

We also see that now with Jonas Valanciunas being put into a starting role when he probably isn’t ready. Considering that the requirements of the job include picking up the slack on the defensive end for others who don’t play that end of the floor (you know who I’m talking about). Although it’s fair to say that Jonas deserves his chance right now, he’s simply not ready to take on the burden himself.

While others, who he took simply because his “guys” weren’t available (Ed Davis, Terrence Ross) are left sitting on the bench, and offered in trade packages for more of his “guys” as seen in the Rudy Gay trade.

So, not only is special treatment given to his “guys” when he gets them, but he is also targeting the wrong type of players as his ‘guys”, and giving up valuable assets in order to bring them in.

Now, there have been reports that Bargnani is still going to be traded at some point this season. However, given Bargnani’s very little trade value, and the fact that the goal seems to be to win now at all costs, it worries me about the type of player that may come back in return.

What’s even worse than that is my fear that Colangelo may throw another promising young player away in order to do it. I get a sense that Terrence Ross may be the bait to pull off another short-sighted move, with no long-term gain. He was considered “untouchable” in the Memphis deal, but perhaps it’s because he’s part of a deal Colangelo claims is on the table when Andrea returns.

Similarly, consider the names of Steve Nash, Kyle Lowry, Landry Fields, Rudy Gay. They are all recent moves which have happened, or in the case of Nash, almost happened because of the win-now mentality.

Don’t get me wrong, I think adding all of these guys are a good move if, and only if the goal is to win now. But, the problem is that the goal shouldn’t be to win now. The goal should be to do what it takes to build a contender, not a treadmill playoff team which the Raptors are shaping up to be.

In addition, Colangelo has had a history of making not only short-sighted decisions, but very bad short-sighted decisions at that. There have been more than a handful of bad moves in the past.

Evidence of this is seen in his free agent signings as well as trades ranging from Jason Kapono, Jermaine O’Neal, Hedo Turkoglu, Linas Kleiza, etc.

Also, who can forget losing Chris Bosh as a free agent for basically nothing but a trade exception and late first round pick from Miami. As well as the contract extensions he’s given out to, once again, his “guys” Andrea Bargnani, and DeMar DeRozan.

Now, I could go into detail over Colangelo’s resume of bad basketball moves. But, I think you are all more than aware of them. So, I won’t bother with that.

Furthermore, the Raptors now risk losing out on a key piece in the next couple of drafts which could have done wonders for the organization. A little patience would have gone a long way into potentially securing something meaningful in Toronto.

That would be with a couple more high draft picks, particularly in the 2014 draft when it is believed that not only the top pick Wiggins, but also several top picks like Parker and Harrison are believed to be true franchise players. Which is exactly what the Raptors need moving forward.

Now, before anyone argues that you need to be extremely lucky to land a high pick in the draft, let alone a top pick, you have to understand that if you don’t try, you have no chance.

When it comes to winning, a small chance is always better than no chance. Sometimes, especially in business, you need to take that chance in order to come out on top. Otherwise, you’re stuck in the middle and go nowhere.

Colangelo went ahead, hedged all his bets, and decided to go all in for a future with no return. In this case, it isn’t the same as taking a risk to win the draft lottery. It’s essentially like going all-in on a stone cold bluff in a game of poker, and hoping that no one calls you on it.

So, while it’s not the entirely same concept used in Shipping Wars, it’s basically the same idea.

In this case, Bryan Colangelo is cashing out early on a nickel, instead of saving his investment to get what could have been a dollar.